Home Weather Weekly Climate and News Roundup #452 – Watts Up With That?

Weekly Climate and News Roundup #452 – Watts Up With That?

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Weekly Climate and News Roundup #452 – Watts Up With That?


The Week That Was: 2021-04-24 (April 24, 2021)
Brought to You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org)
The Science and Environmental Policy Project

Quote of the Week: “We’ve arranged a global civilization in which most crucial elements . . . profoundly depend on science and technology. We have also arranged things so that almost no one understands science and technology. This is a prescription for disaster.”

“Pseudoscience differs from erroneous science. Science thrives on errors, cutting them away one by one. False conclusions are drawn all the time, but they are drawn tentatively. Hypotheses are framed so they are capable of being disproved… Science gropes and staggers toward understanding.”Carl Sagan [H/t Roger Klein]

Number of the Week: – 13

THIS WEEK:

By Ken Haapala, President, Science and Environmental Policy Project (SEPP)

The Greenhouse Effect: Last week TWTW presented an essay by Richard Lindzen, an accomplished atmospheric physicist, and William Happer, a distinguished physicist specializing in Atomic, Molecular and Optical (AMO) Physics, which includes research into matter-matter and light-matter interactions (electromagnetic radiation-matter interactions). Over 150 years ago, John Tyndall recognized that it is the interactions between outgoing infrared radiation (electromagnetic radiation) and certain gases that slow the loss of heat, keeping the land masses from deeply freezing at night. The dominant greenhouse gas is water vapor, covering a broad range of wavelengths, or frequencies, in the infrared spectrum. Its effectiveness crashes when water vapor freezes out in the tropopause, approximately 60,000 feet (18,000 meters) at the equator and roughly 20,000 feet (6,000 meters) at the poles

Carbon dioxide (CO2) covers only a small range of wavelengths (or frequencies) but is highly effective in that small range of wavelengths. Once all infrared radiation in those narrow ranges is being blocked (delayed), the range of wavelengths (or frequencies) is said to be saturated. Expanding saturated ranges to neighboring wavelengths (or frequencies) requires significantly more carbon dioxide. The wavelengths (or frequencies), for which CO2 is an effective greenhouse gas were saturated well before humans began adding CO2 to the atmosphere. Human emissions of CO2 have little effect on temperatures according to Lindzen and Happer. However, their work and that of others is being ignored by those who wish to create fear of dangerous warming from carbon dioxide. As Lindzen and Happer wrote:

“We are both scientists who can attest that the research literature does not support the claim of a climate emergency. Nor will there be one. None of the lurid predictions — dangerously accelerating sea-level rise, increasingly extreme weather, more deadly forest fires, unprecedented warming, etc. — are any more accurate than the fire-and-brimstone sermons used to stoke fanaticism in medieval crusaders.

“No scientist familiar with radiation transfer denies that more carbon dioxide is likely to cause some surface warming. But the warming would be small and benign. In fact, history shows that warmings of a few degrees Celsius — which extended growing seasons — have been good for humanity.” [Boldface added]

“More carbon dioxide will certainly increase the productivity of agriculture and forestry. Over the past century, the earth has already become noticeably greener as a result of the modest increase of CO2, from about 0.03 percent to 0.04 percent of atmospheric molecules. More CO2 has made a significant contribution to the increased crop yields of the past 50 years, as well. The benefits to plants of more CO2 are documented in hundreds of scientific studies.”

“Americans should not be stampeded into a disastrous climate crusade.”

Global climate modelers claim they take radiation transfer into account. However, the results of their work show that they do not do so correctly. Roy Spencer demonstrates that global ocean temperatures are warming at about 50% of the rate of climate model projections. More importantly for the greenhouse effect, climate models predict atmosphere warming 2.5 to 3 times that which is actually occurring. These errors would be unacceptable in a high school physics course, but they are acceptable to the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC); whose followers include the US Global Change Research Program (USGCRP) made up of 13 federal agencies. As Spencer writes:

“A related issue is how much the deep oceans are warming. As I have mentioned before, the (inarguable) energy imbalance associated with deep ocean warming in recent decades is only about 1 part (less than 1 Watt per sq. m) in 300 of the natural energy flows in the climate system.

“This is a very tiny energy imbalance in the climate system. We know NONE of the natural energy flows to that level of accuracy.

“What that means is that global warming could be mostly natural, and we would not even know it.

“I’m not claiming that is the case. I am merely pointing out the level of faith that is involved in the adjustments made to climate models, which necessarily produce warming due to increasing CO2 because those models simply assume that there is no other source of warming.

“Yes, more CO2 must produce some warming. But the amount of warming makes all the difference to global energy policies.

“Seldom is the public ever informed of these glaring discrepancies between basic science and what politicians and pop-scientists tell us.

“Why does it matter?

“It matters because there is no Climate Crisis. There is no Climate Emergency.

“Yes, irregular warming is occurring. Yes, it is at least partly due to human greenhouse gas emissions. But seldom are the benefits of a somewhat warmer climate system mentioned, or the benefits of more CO2 in the atmosphere (which is required for life on Earth to exist).

“But if we waste trillions of dollars (that’s just here in the U.S. — meanwhile, China will always do what is in the best interests of China) then that is trillions of dollars not available for the real necessities of life.

“Prosperity will suffer, and for no good reason.”

Others familiar with radiation transfer agree that energy imbalance is so tiny that it cannot be pinned down. See links under Challenging the Orthodoxy.

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Keeping the Dragon: In his book, The Demon-Haunted World: Science as a Candle in the Dark, Carl Sagan explains the scientific method to the general public. The scientific method requires skeptical, critical thinking and rigorous testing of concepts against physical evidence. He develops the amusing concept of having a fire-breathing dragon in his garage. A visitor cannot see it because it is invisible, it does not leave footprints because it floats, and so on. The existence of the dragon cannot be tested by using physical evidence. The same is true of the claim that carbon dioxide is causing dangerous warming. The advocates of the claim do not test it against the correct physical evidence.

Sagan explains what he calls a “baloney detection kit” for separating what he calls “pseudoscience” from actual science. The kit involves testing concepts against physical evidence, confirmation of the facts and review of all points of view on the concept. [Similar to Richard Feynman requiring testing a hypothesis against all the physical evidence.] Sagan’s kit also includes logical fallacies that need to be avoided when presenting a hypothesis. He emphasizes the importance of skeptical thinking.

Politically, Sagan was considered to be a liberal. It is ironic that many politically liberal people accuse those who challenge the claims of dangerous carbon dioxide-caused global warming as being skeptics – precisely what Sagan advocated. See links under Seeking a Common Ground.

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Feeding the Dragon: President Joe Biden announced an expensive, extensive revamping of the American economy, particularly in energy, to “fight global warming” from carbon dioxide. Warming and cooling of the planet is natural, and evidence shows the human contribution to increasing the greenhouse effect is slight, perhaps not even clearly measurable at this time. Thus, the fight appears to be against the invisible dragon in the garage.

Power expert Donn Dears has two essays on the extent of the problem being created by Biden’s proclamations, one on nuclear power and the second on coal, natural gas, and supply of energy. Roger Pielke Jr. calculates that: “By Earth Day 2022 the US will have needed to close more than 100 power plants that were producing electricity in January 2021 in order to be close to the trajectory set forth by the new emissions targets.” TWTW speculates that President Biden will do a Jim Hansen who predicted great sea level rise. When it was not occurring as predicted, he claimed it will all come at the end of the 21st century.

Patrick Michaels discusses some of the legal issues the Biden plan faces. Others bring up similar problems with Biden’s plan. Perhaps the most bizarre will be the dance the BASIC countries (Brazil, South Africa, India, and China) are taking with Biden’s climate envoy, John Kerry.

Over the past thirty years, South Asia has emerged from extreme poverty, something that few in Washington understand. An important part of this emergence is the use of fossil fuels. Leaders of these countries have every reason to suspect that the UN claims of dangerous global warming are nothing but an effort by neo-colonialists to suppress them. Note that the sharp departure between model forecasts of what is occurring in the atmosphere and what is being actually measured started in the mid-1990s, with model forecasts of warming far exceeding actual measurements.

Brazil is now a leading competitor with the US in bulk agriculture exports, such as maize (corn) and soybeans, despite the USGCRP declaring warming will significantly damage agriculture in the US. The leaders of all these countries appear to be more attuned to the real needs of their publics than Washington is attuned to the real needs of Americans. Washington is focused on fighting dragons. See links under Challenging the Orthodoxy, Change in US Administrations, Expanding the Orthodoxy, and Litigation Issues

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How Big? Leading up to the Biden meeting on climate, it appeared that the leaders of many Western Countries were in a contest on who would make the biggest sacrifices. Of course, the leaders are far too important and too busy to make personal sacrifices, so the sacrifices would fall on the general population. Once, such a contest would be labeled masculine arrogance. Now it includes many women, so can it be labeled as self-righteous arrogance? See links under Questioning Green Elsewhere, Energy Issues – Non-US, and Energy Issues – Australia,

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Why? In 1973, President Biden started his first term in the Senate. Annually, large protests against the war in Vietnam occurred in Washington. That year the Arab Oil Embargo began, causing great disruption to the economy. Further, the Nixon price controls remained on oil and natural gas. During cold weather, thousands of people were thrown out of work from the lack of natural gas. Congress passed laws forbidding power plants from using oil or natural gas exclusively.

In 1977, President Carter declared the energy crisis is the moral equivalent of war. He advocated making the most of the country’s abundant resources of coal, as well as conservation and use of renewables. The 1970s was a period of stagflation (economic stagnation, and high inflation simultaneously). Matt Ridley discusses the problems of government control of the economy by rationing and price control.

When Biden was Vice President during the Obama administration, the government promoted great spending on “shovel-ready” jobs. The net result was a growth rate coming out of a recession of less than 2% — called the great recession. During the Trump administration the economy boomed, the US became energy independent, exporting more oil and gas than it imported. During the Obama administration, small and mid-sized oil and gas companies developed the combination of hydraulic fracturing and directional drilling to solve the problem of extracting oil and gas from dense shale. The energy crisis was over.

Now, President Biden wishes to disrupt the energy industry and the economy to fight a war on dragons – mild or non-existent CO2-caused global warming? Since the analogy of war is frequently used, a better analogy would be President Johnson sending hundreds of thousands of ground troops to Vietnam without a strategic plan. When the Johnson administration was leaving, Secretary of Defense Robert McNamara asked for a report, essentially asking the question “How did we get into this mess?”

The result was the Pentagon Papers, strangely suppressed by President Nixon. Although the report is claimed to be a history of US involvement in Vietnam, what it shows to the skeptical reader is the lack of critical thinking, skeptical questioning, during the Johnson administration in deploying massive units of ground troops. Young political analysts in the White House were developing bombing plans for North Vietnam! In short, the US committed great resources to fight an enemy it did not understand, under poor leadership at the top, using methods that were ineffective. Unfortunately, the Biden climate plan has similar weaknesses. See links under Science, Policy, and Evidence and Article # 2.

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Solar Cycles: We do not fully understand the sun and the extent it influences the globe’s climate. John Maunder writes:

“One challenge for researchers working to predict the Sun’s activities is that scientists don’t yet completely understand the inner workings of our star. Plus, some factors that play out deep inside the Sun cannot be measured directly. They have to be estimated from measurements of related phenomena on the solar surface, like sunspots.”

In November, scientists at the US National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) published a paper predicting the Sunspot Cycle that started that fall could be one of the strongest since about 1755. They did so by using the 22-year (Hale) magnetic cycle rather than the more customary 11-year sunspot cycle. Their prediction of a strong 22-year cycle is in contrast with most predictions of a weak 11-year sunspot cycle.

Separately, three independent scientists, including Willie Soon and David Legates, directors of SEPP, applied machine learning algorithms and analyses to the World Data Center’s newly constructed annual sunspot time series (1700–2019; Version 2.0). They found that the variability in the approximate 11-year Sunspot Cycle is closely connected with a 120-year oscillatory magnetic activity variation. They forecast an extended solar minimum to about 2050.

From this, we see two distinctly separate hypotheses which the Sun will test. It is an exciting time for those who follow the sun. See links under Science: Is the Sun Rising? and Commentary: Is the Sun Rising?

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14th ICCC Rescheduled: The 14th International Conference on Climate Change presented by The Heartland Institute has been rescheduled to October 15 to 17, 2021, at Caesars Palace in Las Vegas. See https://climateconference.heartland.org/

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SEPP’S APRIL FOOLS AWARD

THE JACKSON

SEPP is conducting its annual vote for the recipient of the coveted trophy, The Jackson, a lump of coal. Readers are asked to nominate and vote for who they think is most deserving, following these criteria:

  • The nominee has advanced, or proposes to advance, significant expansion of governmental power, regulation, or control over the public or significant sections of the general economy.
  • The nominee does so by declaring such measures are necessary to protect public health, welfare, or the environment.
  • The nominee declares that physical science supports such measures.
  • The physical science supporting the measures is flimsy at best, and possibly non-existent.

The past recipients, Lisa Jackson, Barrack Obama, John Kerry, Ernest Moniz, Michael Mann, Christiana Figueres, Jerry Brown, AOC, and Neil Ferguson are not eligible. Generally, the committee that makes the selection prefers a candidate with a national or international presence. The voting will close on July 31. Please send your nominee and a brief reason why the person is qualified for the honor to [email protected] Thank you. For a list of past recipients and their accomplishments in earning this honor see http://www.sepp.org/april-fools-award.cfm

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Number of the Week: 13. Joseph D’Aleo of WeatherBell Analytics and ICECAP has updated his list of 13 common claims about the climate that have been rebutted based on credible, relevant physical evidence. The list links to reviews by recognized experts in the specific field. The list includes heat waves, hurricanes, tornadoes, droughts and floods, wildfires, etc. The list of common claims, Bandwagon Science, based on little or no direct physical evidence, is astonishing and usually wrong. Unfortunately, it influences government policies. See link under Challenging the Orthodoxy.

Science: Is the Sun Rising?

Does Machine Learning reconstruct missing sunspots and forecast a new solar minimum?

By V.M. Velasco Herrera, W. Soon, and D.R. Legates, Advances in Space Research. Mar 30, 2021

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0273117721002465?dgcid=author

New sunspot cycle could be one of the strongest on record, new research predicts

Scientists use an extended, 22-year solar cycle to make the forecast

Press Release, NCAR, Dec 7, 2020

https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2020/12/201207142308.htm

Link to paper: Overlapping Magnetic Activity Cycles and the Sunspot Number: Forecasting Sunspot Cycle 25 Amplitude

By Scott W. McIntosh, et al. Solar Physics, Nov 24, 2020

https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11207-020-01723-y

Commentary: Is the Sun Rising?

Solar Activity and the next Maunder Minimum

By John Maunder, Sun Live, Apr 21, 2021 [H/t GWPF]

https://www.sunlive.co.nz/blogs/15562-solar-activity-and-next-maunder-minimum.html

Challenging the Orthodoxy — NIPCC

Climate Change Reconsidered II: Physical Science

Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change (NIPCC), 2013

Summary: https://www.heartland.org/_template-assets/documents/CCR/CCR-II/Summary-for-Policymakers.pdf

Climate Change Reconsidered II: Biological Impacts

Idso, Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change (NIPCC), 2014

http://climatechangereconsidered.org/climate-change-reconsidered-ii-biological-impacts/

Summary: https://www.heartland.org/media-library/pdfs/CCR-IIb/Summary-for-Policymakers.pdf

Climate Change Reconsidered II: Fossil Fuels

By Multiple Authors, Bezdek, Idso, Legates, and Singer eds., Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change, April 2019

http://store.heartland.org/shop/ccr-ii-fossil-fuels/

Download with no charge:

http://climatechangereconsidered.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/Climate-Change-Reconsidered-II-Fossil-Fuels-FULL-Volume-with-covers.pdf

Why Scientists Disagree About Global Warming

The NIPCC Report on the Scientific Consensus

By Craig D. Idso, Robert M. Carter, and S. Fred Singer, Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change (NIPCC), Nov 23, 2015

http://climatechangereconsidered.org/

Download with no charge:

https://www.heartland.org/policy-documents/why-scientists-disagree-about-global-warming

Nature, Not Human Activity, Rules the Climate

S. Fred Singer, Editor, NIPCC, 2008

http://www.sepp.org/publications/nipcc_final.pdf

Global Sea-Level Rise: An Evaluation of the Data

By Craig D. Idso, David Legates, and S. Fred Singer, Heartland Policy Brief, May 20, 2019

Challenging the Orthodoxy

Climate ‘Emergency’? Not So Fast

By Richard Lindzen and William Happer, National Review, Apr 16, 2021 [H/t Paul Redfern]

https://www.nationalreview.com/2021/04/climate-emergency-not-so-fast/

An Earth Day Reminder: “Global Warming” is Only ~50% of What Models Predict

By Roy Spencer, His Blog, Apr 22, 2021

http://www.drroyspencer.com/2021/04/an-earth-day-reminder-global-warming-is-only-50-of-what-models-predict/

Climate Claim Rebuttals Updated

By Joseph D’Aleo, ICECAP, Apr 18, 2021

America! We Have a Problem – The Green Nightmare – Part 1 the Nuclear Problem.

By Donn Dears, Power For USA, Apr 20, 2021

America! We Have a Problem – The Green Nightmare – Part 2: The Coal, Natural Gas and Supply Problems

By Donn Dears, Power For USA, Apr 23, 2021

Tracking Progress Towards President Biden’s 2030 Emissions Reduction Target

President Biden has announced ambitious goals for climate policy, here is how we can track policy progress on a monthly basis

By Roger Pielke Jr. The Honest Broker, Apr 22, 2021

https://rogerpielkejr.substack.com/p/tracking-progress-towards-president

The Latest US CO2 Fantasy

By Willis Eschenbach, WUWT, Apr 21, 2021

Economy-destroying climate plans target nonexistent ‘crisis’

By James Taylor, Washington Times, Apr 21, 2021

https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2021/apr/21/economy-destroying-climate-plans-target-nonexisten/

Hansen’s 1988 global-warming prediction was thrice observation

By Christopher Monckton of Brenchley, WUWT, Apr 20, 2021

Defending the Orthodoxy

Climate change indicators and impacts worsened in 2020

Press Release, UN World Meteorological Organization, Apr 19, 2021 [H/t WUWT]

https://public.wmo.int/en/media/press-release/climate-change-indicators-and-impacts-worsened-2020

Link to report: State of the Global Climate 2020 (WMO-No. 1264)

By Staff, WMOR, 2021

https://library.wmo.int/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=21880#.YH7xDehKhyF

[SEPP Comment: Many of the claims have been refuted]

As global CO2 emissions rise, UK sets new targets

By Staff, Financial Times, Via GWPF, Apr 20, 2021

[SEPP Comment: Great graph showing how ineffective the UNFCCC is. We are fighting a war against an enemy we don’t understand, with incompetent leaders employing ineffective methods.]

Defending the Orthodoxy – Bandwagon Science

10 NSF-funded studies that show the challenges and complexities of climate change

By Staff, NSF, Apr 20, 2021

https://beta.nsf.gov/science-matters/10-nsf-funded-studies-show-challenges-and-complexities-climate-change

[SEPP Comment: Not one addresses the central problems.  Most simply assume ‘climate change’ and predict consequences. The models fail to describe the changing greenhouse effect in the atmosphere.]

Climate change could cost global economy $23T by 2050

By Niv Elis, The Hill, Apr 22, 2021

https://thehill.com/policy/finance/549700-climate-change-could-cost-global-economy-23t-by-2050

Link to report: The economics of climate change

Climate change poses the biggest long-term risk to the global economy. No action is not an option.

By Staff, Swiss Re, Apr 22, 2021

https://www.swissre.com/institute/research/topics-and-risk-dialogues/climate-and-natural-catastrophe-risk/expertise-publication-economics-of-climate-change.html

What was the Medieval warm period?

By Frédérik Saltré and Corey J. A. Bradshaw, The Conversation, Apr 20, 2021 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]

https://phys.org/news/2021-04-medieval-period.html

“Despite the uncertainties, the climate characteristics of the Medieval warm period make it an irrelevant analog for the magnitude of climate change we are facing.”

[SEPP Comment: Understanding natural climate change is vital to estimating how little or much adding CO2 may change climate. This article dismisses natural change with the hockey-stick, a fabrication.]

Questioning the Orthodoxy

Science News vs. Science

By Kip Hansen, WUWT, Apr 21, 2021

Biden To Heal The Planet Again

By Tony Heller, His Blog, Apr 21, 2021

https://realclimatescience.com/2021/04/biden-to-heal-the-planet-again/

[SEPP Comment: Humanity is prospering (prior to COVID), therefore something must be wrong with the planet.]

Easy if only it weren’t so hard

By John Robson, Climate Discussion Nexus, Apr 21, 2021

“As we’ve said before, if things are as bad as the most alarmed of the alarmists say, we might have to bite this bullet or possibly grenade and do it regardless. But it’s not correct to say well, there could be an issue, why take chances, when the cost of enacting the extremists’, proposals is itself enormous, and indeed disastrous.”

Column: U.S. net zero goal implies energy system transformation

By John Kemp, Reuters, Apr 21, 2021

https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/us-net-zero-goal-implies-energy-system-transformation-kemp-2021-04-21/

Climate-Alarmist Junk Science and the Base-Line Fallacy

By Wen Wryte, American Thinker, Apr 19, 2021

https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2021/04/climatealarmist_junk_science_and_the_baseline_fallacy.html

Scientists beginning to say

By John Robson, Climate Discussion Nexus, Apr 21, 2021

[SEPP Comment: Questioning the absurd IPCC RCP8.5 storyline.]

Resourceful Earth Day (celebrate freedom, innovation)

By Pierre Desrochers and Jasmin Guénette, Master Resource, April 22, 2021

After Paris!

At Earth Day Climate Summit, Biden Pushes for Sharp Cut to Greenhouse-Gas Emissions

Some countries call on rich nations to shoulder more responsibility

By Andrew Restuccia and Timothy Puko, WSJ, Apr 22, 2021

https://www.wsj.com/articles/biden-to-urge-climate-action-at-world-leaders-summit-11619085614?mod=hp_lead_pos1

“President Xi Jinping, who attended the summit virtually, said China will reduce coal consumption starting in 2026.”

[SEPP Comment: After the 2024 US elections. If China does not cut emissions will the US declare war?]

Change in US Administrations

Biden And Kerry Get Humiliated On Earth Day, But Are Too Dumb To Realize It

By Francis Menton, Manhattan Contrarian, Apr 22, 2021

https://www.manhattancontrarian.com/blog/2021-4-22-biden-and-kerry-get-humiliated-on-earth-day-but-are-too-dumb-to-realize-it

Biden announces picks to lead oceans, lands agencies

By Rachel Frazin, The Hill, Apr 22, 2021

https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/549872-biden-announces-picks-to-lead-oceans-lands-agencies

Biden says US will work with other countries on climate innovation

By Rachel Frazin, and Morgan Chalfant, The Hill, Apr 23, 2021

https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/549929-biden-says-us-will-work-with-other-countries-on-climate-innovation

Five takeaways from Biden’s climate summit

By Zack Budryk, Rachel Frazin and Laura Kelly, The Hill, Apr 22, 2021

https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/549854-five-takeaways-from-bidens-climate-summit

Joe Biden takes risks with his climate ‘summit’

By Staff, The Washington Times, Via GWPF, Apr 20, 2021

Problems in the Orthodoxy

China’s strange endorsement of ‘net zero’

The Chinese path to supposed decarbonization starts with a lot more coal

By Duggan Flanakin, WUWT, Apr 24, 2021

Don’t tell China: US coal production set to rise, in blow to Biden’s climate goals

By Staff, S&P Global; E&E News, Via GWPF, Apr 21, 2021

China says climate onus on US in John Kerry talks

The US envoy and Chinese Vice-Premier Han Zheng held virtual talks during the former’s trip to Shanghai

Kerry is the first official from the current administration to visit China, signaling hopes that the two powers can work together on the global challenge

By Staff, Agence France-Presse, Apr 17, 2021

https://www.scmp.com/news/world/united-states-canada/article/3129939/china-says-climate-onus-us-john-kerry-talks

For China, a summit to neutralize criticism, not carbon

By Jianli Yang and Aaron Rhodes, The Hill, Apr 22, 2021

https://thehill.com/opinion/energy-environment/549351-for-china-a-summit-to-neutralize-criticism-not-carbon

“The free world will have abdicated its moral responsibility, and failed to protect vulnerable groups and societies, if it appeases China in return for meaningless environmental promises.”

EXCLUSIVE India may build new coal plants due to low cost despite climate change

By Sudarshan Varadhan, Reuters, Apr 19, 2021

https://www.reuters.com/world/india/exclusive-india-may-build-new-coal-plants-due-low-cost-despite-climate-change-2021-04-18/

Seeking a Common Ground

Carl Sagan’s 10th book, The Demon-Haunted World,…

Reviewed by Chauncey Mabe Fort Lauderdale Sun-Sentinel, The Orlando Sentinel, Apr 14, 1996

https://www.orlandosentinel.com/news/os-xpm-1996-04-14-9604110709-story.html

History Confirms Democrat’s 1988 Senate Global Warming Hearing Got Everything Wrong from Start to Finish

By Larry Hamlin, WUWT, Apr 22, 2021

Science, Policy, and Evidence

Britain is in danger of repeating its post-war mistakes

By Matt Ridley, The Rational Optimist, Apr 17, 2021

https://www.rationaloptimist.com/blog/repeating-post-war-mistakes/

KLEIN: The ‘Party Of Science’ Can’t Seem To Bring Itself To Endorse Vaccines

By Roger Klein, MD, Daily Caller, Apr 21, 2021 [H/t Heartland Weekly]

https://dailycaller.com/2021/04/21/klein-the-party-of-science-cant-seem-to-bring-itself-to-endorse-vaccines/

Sweden’s goal was to live with the Covid virus rather than try to suppress it, and this new book sets out its success

By Rob Lyons, RT, Apr 21, 2021 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]

https://www.rt.com/op-ed/521684-swedens-goal-live-covid/

Review of Recent Scientific Articles by CO2 Science

Elevated CO2 Decreases the Efficiency of Cucumber Mosaic Virus Infection

Guo, H., Ge, P., Tong, J., Zhang, Y., Peng, X., Zhao, Z., Ge, F. and Sun, Y. 2021. Elevated carbon dioxide levels decreases Cucumber Mosaic Virus accumulation in correlation with greater accumulation of rgs-CaM, an inhibitor of a viral suppressor of RNAi. Plants 10, 59, doi.org/10.3390/plants10010059. Apr 23, 2021

http://www.co2science.org/articles/V24/apr/a10.php

CO2-Induced Change in Plant Biochemistry Alter Aphid Performance

Moreno-Delafuente, A., Morales, I., Garzo, E., Fereres, A., Viñuela, E. and Medina, P. 2021. Changes in melon plant phytochemistry impair Aphis gossypii growth and weight under elevated CO2. Scientific Reports 11: 2186, doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-81167-x. Apr 21, 2021

http://www.co2science.org/articles/V24/apr/a9.php

“And so it is that in the future, under rising levels of atmospheric CO2, the melon will be the winner in this ongoing plant-insect battle, experiencing an overall reduction in damages caused by this herbivore pest thanks to CO2-induced changes in plant biochemistry.”

Elevated CO2 Improves Tomato Growth Under Low Light Conditions

Huber, B.M., Louws, F.J. and Hernández, R. 2021. Impact of different daily light integrals and carbon dioxide concentrations on the growth, morphology, and production efficiency of tomato seedlings. Frontiers in Plant Science 12: 615853, doi: 10.3389/fpls.2021.615853.

http://www.co2science.org/articles/V24/apr/a8.php

Model Issues

The Failure of Imperial College Modeling Is Far Worse than We Knew

By Phillip Magness, American Institute for Economic Research, Apr 22, 2021

[SEPP Comment: According to Worldometers, on April 22, the deaths per million population in the USA stood at 1754, UK at 1785, Sweden 1368. Hungary 2697, and so on. Political lock downs appear to have little influence on death rates. China reports 3 deaths per million, the same for at least six months. Where does the UN World Health Organization send teams to study the virus? China. This is similar to the UN IPCC blaming the greenhouse effect of carbon dioxide causing global warming but focusing on surface temperature trends rather than atmospheric trends, where the greenhouse effect occurs. https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/?%20 ]

No quick fix for climate change

Press Release by University of Bergen, Apr 20, 2021 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]

https://phys.org/news/2021-04-quick-climate.html

Link to paper: The response of terrestrial ecosystem carbon cycling under different aerosol-based radiation management geoengineering

By Hanna Lee, et al. Earth System Dynamics, Mar 11, 2021

https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/12/313/2021/

Study finds humans are directly influencing wind and weather over North Atlantic

Press Release, University of Miami, Apr 19, 2021 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]

https://phys.org/news/2021-04-humans-weather-north-atlantic.html

Link to paper: NAO predictability from external forcing in the late 20th century

By Jeremy M. Klavans, Nature, Climate and Atmospheric Science, Mar 25, 2021

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41612-021-00177-8

[SEPP Comment: Of the pack, this one predicted what occurred?]

Changing Weather

New report reviews the state of extreme weather in 2020

Press Release, Global Warming Policy Foundation, Apr 21, 2021

Link to report: Extreme Weather in 2020

By Ralph Alexander, GWPF, April 2021

Brutal 2020/21 Northern Hemisphere Winter One For Record Books…And Continues Into Late April!

By Allan M.R. MacRae, No Tricks Zone, Apr 21, 2021

Global Warming? Devastating Frost Impacts 2021 French Wine Grapes

By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Apr 20, 2021

[SEPP Comment: Great photo of burning bougies to protect the vines. Think of the “carbon pollution!”]

No Trend In Colorado Snowpack

By Tony Heller, His Blog, Apr 23, 2021

https://realclimatescience.com/2021/04/no-trend-in-colorado-snowpack/

March In Canada, Alaska and Greta Thunberg’s Sweden Has Seen No Warming In Decades!

By Kirye and Pierre Gosselin, No Tricks Zone, Apr 23, 2021

Changing Seas

Marine life is fleeing the equator to cooler waters. History tells us this could trigger a mass extinction event

By Anthony Richardson, The University of Queensland; Chhaya Chaudhary, University of Auckland; David Schoeman, University of the Sunshine Coast, and Mark John Costello, University of Auckland, The Conversation, Apr 7, 2021 [H/t WUWT]

https://theconversation.com/marine-life-is-fleeing-the-equator-to-cooler-waters-history-tells-us-this-could-trigger-a-mass-extinction-event-158424

“At the end of the Permian geological period about 252 million years ago, global temperatures warmed by 10℃ over 30,000-60,000 years as a result of greenhouse gas emissions from volcano eruptions in Siberia.

“A 2020 study of the fossils from that time shows the pronounced peak in biodiversity at the equator flattened and spread. During this mammoth rearranging of global biodiversity, 90% of all marine species were killed.”

[SEPP Comment: There has been a great deal of speculation, but the eruption of the Siberian Traps probably released massive amounts of sulfur dioxide, hydrogen sulfide, and hydrogen halides, not conducive to life. See https://www.usgs.gov/natural-hazards/volcano-hazards/volcanic-gases#:~:text=By%20far%20the%20most%20abundant,also%20be%20emitted%20from%20volcanoes.]

Northern Red Sea corals live close to the threshold of resistance to cold temperatures

Though these corals can tolerate very high temperatures, a new study reveals that even a slight cold spell can cause bleaching

Press Release, Bar-Ilan University, Apr 19, 2021 [H/t WUWT]

https://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2021-04/bu-nrs041921.php

However, Bellworthy and Fine’s cold stressed corals did not die and recovered once water temperatures returned to normal. Experimental corals were maintained at normal temperatures and then underwent a second test – an anomalously hot summer. “It was an important discovery for us to understand that even those individuals that suffered the cold winter stress, still did not bleach at the high temperatures,” says Bellworthy.

Changing Cryosphere – Land / Sea Ice

Antarctic rainfall could increase through 2100

By Staff Writers, Washington DC (SPX), Apr 16, 2021

https://www.spacedaily.com/reports/Antarctic_rainfall_could_increase_through_2100_999.html

Link to paper: Present and Future of Rainfall in Antarctica

By E. Vignon, et al. submitted to Geophysical Research Letters, Accessed Apr 19, 2021

https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2020GL092281

[SEPP Comment: Relies on UN IPCC CMIP6 scenarios, or dragon science.]

The glacier of greatest concern

By Mike Lucibella, NSF, Apr 21, 2021

https://beta.nsf.gov/science-matters/glacier-greatest-concern

“Antarctica’s massive Thwaites Glacier is melting because of climate change, and a collapse of the glacier could raise sea levels significantly around the world.”

[SEPP Comment: As explained in last week’s TWTW, satellite measurements place the net ice change in Antarctica at about zero. To claim Thwaites Glacier in Western Antarctica is melting from climate change is propaganda.]

The anatomy of past abrupt warmings recorded in Greenland ice

By E. Capron, et al. Nature Communications, Apr 18, 2021 [H/t WUWT]

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-021-22241-w

From abstract: “Our results hint that during these abrupt events, it may not be possible to infer statistically-robust leads and lags between the different components of the climate system because of their tight coupling.”

Earth Day 2021: celebrate abundant sea ice habitat for polar bear feeding and mating

By Susan Crockford, Polar Bear Science, Apr 22, 2021



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